For political junkies like me, tomorrow begins the political season for 2010 with gubernatorial elections in Virginia, New Jersey and the special congressional election in New York 23. There is also a special congressional election in California 10, but that is in the San Francisco metro area and everyone, except for the Republican running, David Harmer, believes that is going to be won by the Democrat, Lieutenant Governor John Garamendi, and I join in that consensus, although I suspect it might be surprisingly close.
In regard to the three competitive races, here are my predictions:
Virginia: McDonnell (R) 57%-Deeds (D) 43%
New Jersey: Christie (R) 45% -Corzine (D) 42-% Daggett (I) 13%
New York 23: Hoffman (Con.) 51% -Owens 43%-Scozzafava (R) 6% (Scozzafava has withdrawn, and endorsed the Democrat, but I give her 6% due to absentee ballots and bitter end support that doesn’t like Hoffman but will not vote for a Democrat.)
Please place your predictions in the combox. The most accurate predictions will have a verbal slap on the back, and the warm glow of victory!
A good site for political junkies to keep track of political races is The Hedgehog Report.
Update: Election results:
Virginia: McDonnell (R) 58.64%- Deeds (D) 41.23%
New Jersey: Christie (R) 48.4%-Corzine (D) 44.6%_Daggett (I) 5.7%
New York 23: Hoffman (Con.) 45%- Owens (D) 49%-Scozzafava (R) 6%