Well Massachusetts has elected a Republican US Senator for the first time in 37 years. What does this political upset of the century mean?
1. ObamaCare is dead. Not only because the Democrats now lack 60 votes to invoke cloture in the Senate, but because opposition to ObamaCare was the signature feature of Scott Brown’s campaign and the results of this race in bluest Massachusetts will send chills down the spine of too many Democrats.
2. We now have further evidence that the Democrats are looking at a political storm of the first magnitude in the Fall. If a US Senate seat in Massachusetts isn’t safe for the Democrats, it is hard to imagine what seat in Congress outside of urban centers they can take for granted in November.
3. The fundraising success of Scott Brown over the internet was astounding. A demonstration that the internet fundraising effort of the Democrats in 2008 now has a GOP counterpart.
4. Look for a wave of Democrat retirements in Congress as more Democrats decide that ending their political careers with a voluntary retirement is preferable to defeat.
5. More Blue Dog Democrats in Congress will follow the example of Congressman Parker Griffith and announce that they are switching to the Republican Party.
6. Republicans will now run aggressive races in Blue States that are not used to hotly contested elections. If Scott Brown can do it in Massachusetts, many more Republican candidates will now be willing to make the effort in states that had hitherto been regarded as out of reach by the GOP.
7. Obama made a crucial error in coming in to campaign for Coakley. It merely underscored the national implications of the race and now causes Democrat candidates around the nation to ponder that if Obama can’t rescue a Democrat in Massachusetts, what possible good could his efforts be for them in November.
8. If any legislation of significance is going to pass Congress this year, Democrats will have to work with Republicans to accomplish it.
9. Scott Brown’s campaign and Martha Coakley’s campaign will be regarded as classic examples of how to win an election and how to lose an election.
10. I’ll give the tenth point to Senator Bayh (D.Indiana): “There’s going to be a tendency on the part of our people to be in denial about all this,” Bayh told ABC News, but “if you lose Massachusetts and that’s not a wake-up call, there’s no hope of waking up.”